Will the next Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, at least two independent regional or national news outlets report that the next government of Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern is an official coalition that includes the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) as a formal coalition partner and that AfD members have been appointed to ministerial posts in the state cabinet. If a publicly announced coalition agreement names the AfD but ministerial appointments are still pending, count YES if at least two independent outlets report the agreement. NO if the AfD only provides outside support without AfD members holding ministerial office.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 342 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

342

Credits staked

5,847

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 21, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 342 predictions and 5.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the next Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the next Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.