Will the Monthermé wildfire be declared contained?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on August 19, 2026, an official press release, prefectural bulletin or equivalent public statement from the Préfecture des Ardennes or the Service Départemental d'Incendie et de Secours (SDIS) des Ardennes, or a direct quote of such a declaration carried by major French news outlets, explicitly states that the wildfire centred on Monthermé (Ardennes) has been declared 'fixé', 'contenu', 'maîtrisé', 'sous contrôle' or 'éteint' (i.e. contained/controlled/extinguished). NO otherwise. If official statements conflict, the Préfecture des Ardennes' explicit declaration takes precedence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 18 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

54%

Predictions made

18

Credits staked

477

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 16, 2026

Closes

Aug 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 19, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 54% and NO 46%, based on 18 predictions and 477 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Monthermé wildfire be declared contained?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Monthermé wildfire be declared contained?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.