Will the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) mission launch toward Phobos before end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the MMX spacecraft is officially launched toward Mars’ moon Phobos by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by JAXA or mission authorities; NO if not.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 13 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

75%

Predictions made

13

Credits staked

104

Comments

0

Opened

May 31, 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 2, 2027

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 75% and NO 25%, based on 13 predictions and 104 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) mission launch toward Phobos before end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) mission launch toward Phobos before end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.