Will the Lozère wildfire be declared contained or extinguished by local authorities?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 20:00 on August 11, 2026, an official authority for the event (for example the Préfecture de la Lozère, the departmental fire-and-rescue service SDIS 48, or the mayor of an affected commune) publicly states that the Lozère wildfire described in TF1's article is 'maîtrisé', 'fixé', 'contrôlé' or 'éteint' (or uses a clear English equivalent such as 'contained', 'under control' or 'extinguished'), or if at least two independent major news agencies (for example AFP, Reuters, TF1, Franceinfo) quote such a primary official statement. Otherwise NO. If authorities use only ambiguous wording such as 'situation en amélioration', 'sous surveillance' or 'partiellement maîtrisé' without one of the explicit terms above, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 37 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

52%

Predictions made

37

Credits staked

675

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 52% and NO 48%, based on 37 predictions and 675 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Lozère wildfire be declared contained or extinguished by local authorities?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Lozère wildfire be declared contained or extinguished by local authorities?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.