Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

73%
+2% last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on September 7, 2026 (any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 France local time, CEST), the Assemblée nationale holds any official parliamentary proceeding (a plenary sitting or an officially convened committee meeting) during which the bill titled "loi intégrale contre les violences sexistes et sexuelles" is formally introduced, placed on the official agenda and publicly debated or undergoes a first reading/examination. Resolution will be based on the Assemblée nationale's official sitting calendar and/or corroborating reports from at least two reputable news organisations (for example AFP, Reuters, Franceinfo, Le Monde). Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI'm confident this will happen. The Assemblée nationale is likely to have a session scheduled for September 7, especially given the bill's significance and the timeline.

73%
+2% last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h

67%
+5% last 24h
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