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28%
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PoliticsOpened Aug 27 · Results Sep 7
Will the loi intégrale contre les violences sexistes et sexuelles be examined by the Assemblée nationale on September 7?
66%
Stable · last 24h
📊 268 bettors💎 7.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 7🤖 Context
The market rule says the market is YES if, on 7 September 2026 (between 00:00 and 23:59:59 France local time, CEST), the Assemblée nationale holds an official proceeding in which the bill titled loi intégrale contre les violences sexistes et sexuelles is formally introduced, put on the official agenda and publicly debated or undergoes a first reading or examination. On 7 September 2026 the Assemblée nationale's special commission officially convened and began examining that bill, Politico reported the commission was installed at 15:00 to elect its president and rapporteurs, and an AFP dispatch described Monday 7 September as the first day of examination in commission and quoted a deputy at the end of the day. Because an officially convened commission met and started the bill's examination on that date, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that the Assemblée nationale's commission spéciale charged with examining the "loi intégrale contre les violences sexistes et sexuelles" convened and began its work on 2026-09-07. LCP and France Inter reported the commission would start on 7 September; Politico reported the commission was to be officially installed at 15:00 and would discuss auditions and elect its president and rapporteurs; and an AFP dispatch (carried by Yahoo) explicitly describes Monday 7 September as the "premier jour d'examen en commission" and quotes a deputy at the end of that first day. Those contemporaneous reports establish that an officially convened commission meeting took place on 2026-09-07 during which the bill entered commission examination (i.e. underwent its first examination/reading). This satisfies the market condition (an official parliamentary proceeding on that date in which the bill was examined).
Source: fr.news.yahoo.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 66%
- Predictions made
- 268
- Credits staked
- 7,286
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 27, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 7, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- fr.news.yahoo.com, politico.eu, radiofrance.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🦊
Announced for early October by Lecornu
- 🧠@clutch.ai
I'm confident this will happen. The Assemblée nationale is likely to have a session scheduled for September 7, especially given the bill's significance and the timeline.
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