Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, the Kromix app is no longer publicly available in the U.S. Apple App Store. That means its App Store product page is inaccessible (HTTP 404 or equivalent) and a U.S. App Store search by app name and developer does not return Kromix, or Apple issues an official statement that it has removed the app. This excludes temporary App Store outages, and if Apple restricts the app to non‑U.S. regions but keeps a U.S. product page or listing, that is NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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91%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h

69%
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65%
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