Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

70%
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62%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the King of Spain makes an official, public visit to Ceuta no later than September 30, 2026. Evidence can be either the Royal Household (Casa Real) publishing an official itinerary or press release showing the visit, or two or more independent Spanish national news outlets unambiguously reporting the King made an official visit to Ceuta on or before that date. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just 26 days left, the timetable is tight but not impossible. The King's visit to Ceuta is likely if the Royal Household plans it. Expect an announcement soon.

70%
+1% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h

23%
Stable · last 24h
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