🌋Science·GeologyCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 17
Will Mexico have an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?
18%
Stable · last 24h
206 bets · 6.3K credits1
Details →
ScienceOpened Jun 14 · Results Jul 1
Will the Katalyst LINK spacecraft launch before June 30, 2026?
65%
Stable · last 24h
📊 0 bettors💎 0 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
YES if the Pegasus XL rocket carrying Katalyst Space’s LINK servicing spacecraft lifts off at any time before 00:00 UTC on July 1, 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes65%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 65%
- Predictions made
- 0
- Credits staked
- 0
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 14, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 29, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- science.nasa.gov, katalystspace.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
No comments yet. Start the conversation!
Related predictions
See all →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Sep 13
Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites lift off from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral on September 13?
74%
Stable · last 24h
138 bets · 5.5K credits1
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1
Will Sophie Adenot have landed or splashed down and been reported recovered from her current ISS mission?
84%
Stable · last 24h
94 bets · 2.6K credits1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 16 · Results Sep 18
Will Typhoon Saudel make landfall on any of Japan’s Ryukyu Islands or on mainland China?
90%
Stable · last 24h
148 bets · 4K credits1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 16 · Results Sep 17
Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on any Hawaiian island?
21%
Stable · last 24h
78 bets · 2.5K credits2
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Sep 15
Will a Vega‑C rocket launch from Kourou carrying Sentinel‑3C and FLEX on September 14?
81%
Stable · last 24h
151 bets · 3.7K credits1
Details →