🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 11
Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?

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4333 bets · 101.8K credits15
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80%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 16This market will resolve to 'YES' if the High-Level Political Forum on Sustainable Development adopts the Ministerial Declaration on July 15, 2026, as scheduled. It will resolve to 'NO' if the adoption does not occur on that date or is postponed. The outcome will be determined based on official UN records and announcements.
How markets are built and settled80%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
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