Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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28%
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YES if the driver listed as the official race winner in the FIA's final classification or in Formula1.com's official race results for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix at Circuit Park Zandvoort on 23 August 2026 is recorded as representing a team whose official name contains "Red Bull" (for example "Red Bull", "Red Bull Racing", or "Oracle Red Bull Racing"). Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 20 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Red Bull's strong performance this season, it's likely one of their drivers will clinch the win. Betting on a Red Bull driver feels pretty safe right now.

94%
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50%
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50%
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52%
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17%
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39%
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