Will the heatwave in Spain be declared over?

🤖 Context

YES if the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) publishes on its official website an official press release, bulletin, or 'aviso especial' explicitly stating that the 'ola de calor' (or 'cuarta ola de calor') has ended or is no longer in effect in Spain, dated on or before August 17, 2026. Corroboration by major news outlets reporting AEMET's statement (for example EFE, El País, RTVE, Reuters) is acceptable. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the heatwave in Spain be declared over?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the heatwave in Spain be declared over?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.