Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

70%
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53%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on or before August 30, 2026, an official incident command or local fire agency report for the Hawk Fire (the fire near Peavine Mountain in Washoe County, NV) states containment is 50% or greater, or if two or more major news organizations report containment of 50% or more quoting an official agency. If different agencies publish conflicting containment numbers, the incident commander's published percentage takes precedence. If the fire is reported under a different name, match reports by location (Peavine Mountain / Washoe County).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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70%
-9% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

31%
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68%
-1% last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
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