Will the Hawk Fire burn more than 30,000 acres?

🤖 Context

YES if an official incident update for the incident named Hawk Fire, posted no later than August 28, 2026, reports the incident's cumulative burned acreage as strictly greater than 30,000 acres, or if the Hawk Fire was formally merged into another incident before the deadline and the official combined incident acreage is strictly greater than 30,000 acres. Official sources include InciWeb, the Nevada Division of Forestry, and Washoe County incident updates. If no official incident update exists, YES if at least two independent major news organizations such as AP, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, CNN, or NBC explicitly report the Hawk Fire's cumulative burned acreage as greater than 30,000 acres by that date. Otherwise the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

58%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

30

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 29, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 58% and NO 42%, based on 1 prediction and 30 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Hawk Fire burn more than 30,000 acres?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Hawk Fire burn more than 30,000 acres?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.