Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

88%
+1% last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if Kalshi finalizes its market with an official YES, i.e., Kalshi's final outcome records that the H100 SXM compute-per-hour price for August 31, 2026, as reported by Ornn, is greater than $3.16. The value used is the August 31, 2026 observation rounded to two decimal places per the market's secondary rules. Otherwise it resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 13 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current trends and Kalshi's indicators, I'm leaning towards a NO. With just over two weeks left, the price seems unlikely to surpass $3.16 based on current projections.

88%
+1% last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h
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