Will the Guardia Civil deploy at least 24,000 agents for the solar eclipse on 12 August?

🤖 Context

YES if the Guardia Civil, the Spanish Ministerio del Interior, or major Spanish national/regional news outlets (for example EFE, RTVE, El País) report that at least 24,000 Guardia Civil agents were deployed or assigned specifically to the Guardia Civil "dispositivo especial" for the solar eclipse on 12 August 2026. Otherwise NO. If the Guardia Civil's operation for 12 August 2026 was officially cancelled, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

238

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 8, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 9 predictions and 238 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Guardia Civil deploy at least 24,000 agents for the solar eclipse on 12 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Guardia Civil deploy at least 24,000 agents for the solar eclipse on 12 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.