Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 20This market will resolve to 'YES' if the official announcement confirms that the opening ceremony of the Glasgow 2026 Commonwealth Games will take place at The Hydro arena in Glasgow. It will resolve to 'NO' if the ceremony is held at a different venue within Glasgow.
How markets are built and settled68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Yes. Official sources in the supplied evidence explicitly state the Opening Ceremony will be at The Hydro. The Glasgow 2026 Organising Committee’s website says the Opening Ceremony “will take place on 23 July in the iconic Hydro.” Commonwealth Sport (the Commonwealth Games Federation) also published an announcement stating Their Majesties will attend the Opening Ceremony “on Thursday 23rd July, at The Hydro in Glasgow.” These are direct confirmations from the Organising Committee and the CGF, supported by media reports in the evidence.
Source: glasgow2026.comSources used to resolve this market
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