🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 9
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
41%
-5% last 24h
340 bets · 14.8K credits4
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TechOpened Aug 21 · Results Oct 2
Will the Gemini Robotics 2 action model be publicly available to all developers?
43%
Stable · last 24h
📊 118 bettors💎 3.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 2🤖 Context
YES if Google DeepMind or Google publishes a public announcement no later than October 1, 2026 that the Gemini Robotics 2 action model or the full Gemini Robotics 2 suite is available for general developer access without invitation, closed-beta, or partner-only restrictions. This must be published by DeepMind or Google in official developer documentation or blog posts, for example the DeepMind blog, Google AI/Gemini developer docs, or Google's Gemini API pages. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No43%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Gemini Robotics ER 2 reasoning model has been made accessible via the Gemini API and Google AI Studio. However, the direct action model Gemini Robotics 2 (the Vision-Language-Action / VLA model enabling motor control) is currently restricted in Private Preview (on a waiting list / trusted testers) and is not publicly accessible to all developers.
Source: blog.googleKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 43%
- Predictions made
- 118
- Credits staked
- 3,658
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Aug 21, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- blog.google
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
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