Will the full Muse Spark 1.2 model weights be publicly released?

🤖 Context

YES if Meta posts and makes publicly accessible the model weights explicitly identified as "Muse Spark 1.2" (the full weights or an officially labeled downloadable weight package) no later than September 30, 2026, according to Meta's official developer or research pages, a Meta press release, or a major news outlet linking to the released weights. Otherwise NO. Announcements of intent, partner‑only or gated access, or sample/demo checkpoints not labeled as the full Muse Spark 1.2 weights do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

arstechnica.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against arstechnica.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the full Muse Spark 1.2 model weights be publicly released?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the full Muse Spark 1.2 model weights be publicly released?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.