🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
14%
Stable · last 24h
2950 bets · 65.9K credits8
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PoliticsResults Jul 7
Will the French government survive the motion de censure on July 7, 2026?
84%
Stable · last 24h
📊 265 bettors💎 7.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 7🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if the French government, led by Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, survives the motion de censure scheduled for July 7, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official vote count published by the National Assembly.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes84%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 84%
- Predictions made
- 265
- Credits staked
- 7,255
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 4, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 8, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
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