Will MrBeast be in the Top 5 of Tubefilter's weekly subscribers chart for the week of November 1?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 6The market required verifiable proof of at least one public, paid U.S. theatrical screening of Primetime on September 5, 2026, shown in U.S. theatre showtime listings, A24’s official release schedule, or major U.S. news coverage, and private, press, invitation-only or festival showings or screenings outside the U.S. would not count. Multiple credible reports show Primetime had its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, 2026, and A24 lists the U.S. theatrical release as beginning on September 25, 2026, with U.S. exhibitor listings showing showtimes starting September 25 and none listing a paid U.S. screening on September 5. Because there is no verifiable U.S. showtime or official U.S. release listing for September 5, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Primetime had its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, 2026 (in Venice, Italy) and that A24’s U.S. theatrical release begins on September 25, 2026. Exhibitor listings (RegMovies) in the evidence show U.S. showtimes starting September 25, and none of the supplied U.S. exhibitor/press pages document any paid U.S. theatrical showings on September 5. One outlier (Page Six) asserts a September 5 theatrical release, but it is contradicted by multiple independent outlets and the exhibitor listing. Therefore the supplied evidence provides positive, corroborated support that there were no public, paid U.S. theatrical screenings of Primetime on 2026-09-05.
Source: wowktv.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledA24 is likely to ensure 'Primetime' has a screening scheduled by September 5. Their marketing strategy usually prioritizes public exposure in the US.

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