🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
74%
+40% last 24h
1780 bets · 53K credits6
Details →
ScienceResults Jul 2
Will the FDA approve Viridian Therapeutics’ veligrotug for thyroid eye disease by June 30, 2026?
45%
Stable · last 24h
📊 0 bettors💎 0 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 2🤖 Context
YES if the FDA issues approval for veligrotug to treat thyroid eye disease (TED) by U.S. FDA decision date June 30 2026 (inclusive); NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes45%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 45%
- Predictions made
- 0
- Credits staked
- 0
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 25, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- viridiantherapeutics.com, investors.viridiantherapeutics.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
No comments yet. Start the conversation!
Related predictions
See all →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 10 · Results Sep 11
Will tropical cyclone Lowell be upgraded to hurricane status (Category 1 or higher)?
82%
Stable · last 24h
27 bets · 838 creditsNEW1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 10 · Results Sep 11
Will Hurricane Karina make landfall on any landmass?
63%
Stable · last 24h
32 bets · 932 creditsNEW1
Details →🌋Science·GeologyCloses Sep 3 · Results Sep 6
Will Alaska be hit by an earthquake of magnitude 5.3 or greater?
22%
Stable · last 24h
169 bets · 5K credits1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 9
Will Hurricane Karina reach Category 5 strength?
69%
Stable · last 24h
183 bets · 4.3K credits1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 7
Will Phantom Ranch be closed to overnight stays on September 7?
69%
-1% last 24h
2 bets · 80 credits1
Details →