Will the Falcon 9 O3b mPOWER F mission on September 13 deploy all three O3b mPOWER satellites into MEO?

🤖 Context

YES if, during the Falcon 9 O3b mPOWER F mission launched from SLC-40, Cape Canaveral on September 13, 2026, all three O3b mPOWER satellites are released and are reported by SES or by SpaceX or by at least two independent major outlets to have been inserted into their planned medium Earth orbit (MEO) for the O3b mPOWER constellation. If all three are released but later declared non‑operational by SES for reasons unrelated to initial insertion, count as YES. Otherwise NO. Preferred authoritative sources are SES or SpaceX.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 30 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

30

Credits staked

797

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 13, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 30 predictions and 797 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 O3b mPOWER F mission on September 13 deploy all three O3b mPOWER satellites into MEO?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 O3b mPOWER F mission on September 13 deploy all three O3b mPOWER satellites into MEO?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.