Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
+19% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if on 10 September 2026 (Spain local time) two or more independent reputable Spanish news outlets report that the person described in EFE's article as "the ex-director of the Guardia Civil" was formally questioned, examined, or gave testimony in a judicial proceeding related to the 'Leire' case. NO if reliable reporting shows the scheduled appearance was postponed or cancelled, the person attended but was not questioned, the questioning occurred on a different date, or if no such reporting appears.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the proximity of the date and the coverage by reputable outlets, I expect the ex-director to be interrogated. There's enough momentum behind this case now.

69%
+19% last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h
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