TechResults Aug 4

Will the European Commission formally adopt the provisional AI Act simplification deal before August 2, 2026?

57%

Stable · last 24h

📊 66 bettors💎 1.5K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Aug 4

🤖 Context

YES if the European Parliament and Council formally adopt the provisional agreement on the AI Act simplification (including delayed deadlines for high‑risk AI systems) before August 2 2026, as confirmed by official EU sources. NO otherwise.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

57%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: The supplied evidence includes the European Parliament press release showing the Parliament approved the simplification measures (including the “nudifier” ban and revised application dates) on 16 June 2026, and the Council of the EU press release showing the Council gave its final green light on 29 June 2026. Those two institutional actions constitute formal adoption of the provisional agreement (the Digital Omnibus on AI) including the delayed high‑risk deadlines, and both occurred before 2026-08-02.

Source: europarl.europa.eu

Key facts

Crowd probability: 57%
Predictions made: 66
Credits staked: 1,488
Comments: 1
Opened: May 17, 2026
Closes: Aug 3, 2026
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: europarl.europa.eu, consilium.europa.eu

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 1 comment

🚀
@mick7910Bet Yes· 60 💎
Apparently, it has already been applied since July 27 🤔
Aug 2

229 bets · 6.6K credits2

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