Will the eastern Pacific disturbance become Tropical Storm 'Hernan'?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 00:00 on August 25, 2026, the National Hurricane Center or another NOAA tropical-cyclone advisory authority issues an advisory that names a tropical cyclone 'Hernan' and explicitly identifies that cyclone as having developed from the eastern Pacific disturbance that had been tracked as Invest 99E. If the name 'Hernan' is first applied after 00:00 on August 25, 2026, or authorities state a different system received the name, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 25, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 25, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the eastern Pacific disturbance become Tropical Storm 'Hernan'?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the eastern Pacific disturbance become Tropical Storm 'Hernan'?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.