Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the FIA's official final Sprint Race classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix on August 22, 2026 lists the winner's constructor as 'Mercedes'. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 63 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Mercedes' recent performance and past successes in sprints, I'm leaning towards a yes. They’ll likely be competitive enough to claim this one.

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