Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

69%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 26YES if the driver listed as P1 (pole) in the official qualifying classification for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix on Formula1.com is the same person listed as 1st (race winner) in the official race classification on Formula1.com, otherwise NO. If qualifying was cancelled and no official pole-sitter is recorded, the market resolves NO. If Formula1.com is unavailable at resolution time, use the FIA's official qualifying and race classifications on FIA.com.
How markets are built and settled39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied evidence shows the same driver in both classifications. The Formula1.com qualifying report (Jul 25, 2026) and the official qualifying classification (API) list Lando Norris as P1 (pole). The official race classification (API) for the Hungarian Grand Prix (race date 2026-07-26) lists Lando Norris as the race winner (Pos 1) and shows his grid position as 1. Therefore the driver who was P1 in the qualifying classification is the same individual who is listed 1st in the race classification: Lando Norris.
Source: api.jolpi.caSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledyeah, pole position means you’re already halfway to victory. unless they trip over their own feet, they should take it! 😂

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