Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 26The market required that at least two independent news outlets report that on 26 August 2026 the Diputación Permanente of the Congreso voted to approve at least one Popular Party initiative asking for the urgent summoning of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or any of the ten ministers. On 26 August 2026 Servimedia reported that the Diputación Permanente rejected all of the PP’s urgent appearance requests, and EFE reported that the PP withdrew its request for Pedro Sánchez because the government scheduled him for 3 September. Because the available reporting shows rejections or a withdrawal rather than any approved motion, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Servimedia (26 Aug 2026) explicitly reports that the Diputación Permanente of the Congreso rejected all of the Popular Party’s requests for urgent appearances of ministers at the 26‑Aug session. EFE (26 Aug 2026) corroborates that the PP withdrew its request for Pedro Sánchez’s appearance (because the Government scheduled Sánchez for 3 Sep). The Congreso’s published orden del día for the Diputación Permanente (DP_007_082026.pdf) shows the PP initiatives were on the agenda for 26 Aug 2026. I find no evidence among the supplied pages that any PP initiative to urgently summon the prime minister or any of the ministers was approved; the direct report from Servimedia is positive evidence that they were all rejected, so the correct settlement is NO.
Source: servimedia.esSources used to resolve this market
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