Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

59%
-2% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, at 12:00 PM MST on September 1, 2026, Grand Canyon National Park's official river-status information (the Grand Canyon River Alert, the park's news/alerts page, or other official National Park Service communication) states the Colorado River within the park is closed to recreational river traffic (an explicit ban). Contemporary major news reports that quote the National Park Service are also acceptable. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the time frame, it's highly unlikely the river will be officially closed by tomorrow. Current conditions suggest it will remain open, barring any last-minute announcements.

59%
-2% last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h

75%
+1% last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
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