Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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37%
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YES if, before the match's official kickoff, the Collectif Ultras Paris publicly calls on its members not to attend the Lens - Paris SG Trophée des champions match and that call is reported by at least one major non-paywalled national or international news organisation (for example L'Équipe, AFP, or Reuters) or by either club's official website. YES also if the group posts an identical public boycott statement on its official public website and a major outlet reports it. A private or single social-media-only post only counts if it is also reported by a major news outlet or posted on the group's official public website. If the group publicly retracts the boycott before kickoff, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 50 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt the Collectif Ultras Paris will call for a boycott. With less than three days to go, they're likely to avoid public calls that might backfire, especially with media scrutiny.

94%
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40%
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88%
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41%
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40%
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38%
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