Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?

33%
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61%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Dec 31YES if the French National Commission for Public Debate (CNDP) publishes its official report on the “Higgs factory” public consultation by December 31, 2026 (inclusive); NO if not published by that date.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lemonde.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

33%
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76%
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62%
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59%
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48%
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91%
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