Will the Central Pacific system make landfall on any Hawaiian island as a tropical storm or stronger?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 17, 2026, an official advisory or post‑storm report from the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service office in Honolulu (or an official statement by those agencies quoted by major news outlets) states the system's center passed over the land of any Hawaiian island while it was operationally classified as a tropical storm or stronger. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Central Pacific system make landfall on any Hawaiian island as a tropical storm or stronger?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Central Pacific system make landfall on any Hawaiian island as a tropical storm or stronger?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.