Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
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75%
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YES if YouTube's publicly-displayed view counter on the official Cámara de Diputados video 'Entrevista. Dip. Kenia López Rabadán, presidenta de la Cámara de Diputados' shows at least 25,000 public views no later than September 5, 2026. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against youtube.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 1 prediction.
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10%
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18%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

76%
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71%
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60%
Stable · last 24h
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