Will the Bundestag adopt the 2027 federal budget law in plenary?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, the Bundestag plenary has voted to approve and thereby adopted the federal budget law or the formal principal budget resolution for fiscal year 2027. Evidence must be the Bundestag's published plenary protocol (Plenarprotokoll) or credible reporting by at least two independent national news outlets (for example ARD/tagesschau, dpa, FAZ) explicitly stating that the Bundestag adopted the 2027 budget in plenary. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Bundestag adopt the 2027 federal budget law in plenary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Bundestag adopt the 2027 federal budget law in plenary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.