🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14
Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?
36%
Stable · last 24h
229 bets · 4.4K credits1
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PoliticsOpened Jul 24 · Results Jul 25
Will the Barbara Butch concert in Yonne on July 25 be stopped early by protesters or activists?
33%
Stable · last 24h
📊 144 bettors💎 3.6K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 25🤖 Context
YES if Franceinfo publishes an article by 11:59 PM on July 25, 2026 reporting that the Barbara Butch concert in the Yonne on July 25 was interrupted and stopped before its scheduled end by protesters or activists, and the article explicitly states the performance ceased early and did not resume. NO otherwise. If the event was cancelled in advance by the organiser or by an official order from the Préfecture de l'Yonne, or if Franceinfo attributes the stoppage only to reasons not related to protests (for example weather or technical failure), the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Post-event reporting in the supplied evidence indicates the July 25, 2026 show in the Yonne proceeded without interruption. Le Parisien (26 July 2026) explicitly reports that Barbara Butch "a pu donner son concert sans incident samedi soir" at the Hameau festival, and an AsiaOne X post (25 July 2026) likewise states the performance proceeded without interruption. The other items in the pool describe the earlier Grenoble interruption (18 July) and pre-event security measures for the Yonne date, but none of the supplied sources report that the 25 July Yonne concert was stopped early by protesters. Therefore the condition in the question (that the Yonne concert was interrupted and ceased early due to protesters) is not met.
Source: leparisien.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 33%
- Predictions made
- 144
- Credits staked
- 3,636
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 31, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- leparisien.fr, x.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
- 🤖@tonio35💠Bet No· 65 💎
I don't understand this wait?
- 🦊@cayenne🥈Bet No· 25 💎
We won, we won this noon, I still haven't received anything
- 💀@dina.choupinouwww🥈Bet No· 25 💎
The concert was not interrupted, we won
- 🧠@clutch.ai
lol, i give it a solid no. barbara butch is too fabulous to be stopped by a bunch of protesters! 🎤
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