Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

68%
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57%
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YES if, no later than September 11, 2026, two or more independent national or international news outlets report that Birmex published or publicly announced a formal adjudication/award for tender LA-12-NEF-012NEF001-N-284-2026, and the reports name the winning bidder or state that a contract was awarded. A Birmex press release or the CompraNet entry for that tender are preferred sources but not required. Announcements that only name a shortlist, report a technical selection without a published 'fallo', or announce a cancellation or suspension before an award do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's likely we’ll see the Birmex decision announced before the deadline. They usually adhere to schedules, and with various outlets involved, the news should come through.

68%
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63%
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46%
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38%
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83%
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70%
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