Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1This market will resolve to YES if the average price of gasoline in the United States exceeds $4.00 per gallon on July 31, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). It will resolve to NO if the average price is $4.00 per gallon or less on that date.
How markets are built and settled85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report the U.S. national average gasoline price above $4.00 at the end of July 2026. AAA’s reporting (weekly updates) showed the national average around $4.09–$4.10 (July 30–31), a WSLS article dated July 31, 2026 explicitly states the national average was $4.10 on July 31, and EIA-derived weekly series (as reported via YCharts/Macrotrends) show weekly averages in late July above $4.00 (~$4.10–4.23). These independent reports corroborate that the U.S. average was greater than $4.00/gal on July 31, 2026.
Source: gasprices.aaa.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt's already $4

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