Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 2This market will resolve to 'YES' if the 2026 Commonwealth Games in Glasgow attract over 1 million viewers worldwide, as reported by official broadcast statistics. It will resolve to 'NO' if the viewership is 1 million or fewer.
How markets are built and settled72%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied sources report multi-million TV audiences in individual countries. The Guardian (2026-08-02) says organisers’ TV figures showed 11.4 million viewers in Australia and close to 4 million in Canada; Glasgow2026’s own “In numbers” page also cites ~10 million viewers in Australia. Those country-level figures alone demonstrate the Games attracted well over 1,000,000 viewers worldwide.
Source: theguardian.comSources used to resolve this market
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