Will Xavi Hernández be the Netherlands men's national team head coach on September 1?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 1This market will resolve to 'YES' if the official announcement of the 2026 Ballon d'Or nominees is made before August 1, 2026. If the announcement is made on or after August 1, 2026, it will resolve to 'NO'.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: No supplied source contains an official list or a news item showing the 2026 Ballon d'Or nominees had been published before 2026-08-01. The official organiser (UEFA) in its 2026 ceremony announcement stated that "the list of nominees will be communicated in due course" (UEFA article). A contemporaneous report (TopMercato, 2026-07-23) explicitly says the 30 nominees are scheduled to be announced in early September. Taken together (official wording that nominees would come later, plus media reporting an early-September announcement), the evidence supplied indicates the official nominees announcement had not been made before 2026-08-01.
Source: uefa.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledévidemment qu'ils vont balancer les noms avant le 1er août ! c'est pas comme s'ils allaient attendre la dernière minute pour nous faire saliver 😂

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