Will Tom Cruise be in GoldDerby's top 5 for Best Actor?

80%
Stable · last 24h

97%
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YES if TF1's linear channel broadcast the full first episode (season premiere) of Star Academy's 2026 season on October 10, 2026, during TF1's prime-time schedule. Otherwise NO. • Only a full first episode aired on TF1's linear channel counts. Trailers, highlights, or clips do not count. • Online-only releases or broadcasts on another channel or platform do not count. • Source: TF1 official programming schedule or a TF1 press release. Corroboration from mainstream French news outlets is allowed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against purepeople.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 97%, based on 356 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
80%
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40%
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36%
+1% last 24h

40%
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86%
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54%
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