Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

89%
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47%
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YES if TechCrunch or mainstream news reports that TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 included physical, in-person sessions at Moscone West, San Francisco on at least one calendar day of October 13, 14, or 15, 2026. "In-person sessions" means scheduled talks or panels with speakers and an audience physically present at Moscone West. If the event was purely virtual, held at a different venue, or only had exhibitor setup without scheduled sessions open to attendees, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 47%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that we're still over a month away and recent trends suggest a return to in-person events, I believe TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 will include sessions at Moscone West.

89%
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86%
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26%
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49%
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78%
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29%
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