SportsOpened Jul 25 · Results Jul 25

Will Tadej Pogačar win Stage 20 (Le Bourg d'Oisans → Alpe d'Huez) of the 2026 Tour de France?

45%

Stable · last 24h

📊 164 bettors💎 5.7K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Jul 25

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if the ProCyclingStats Stage 20 result page for the 2026 Tour de France lists Tadej Pogačar as the rider in position 1 when that page is published or updated after the stage. Resolves NO otherwise, including if ProCyclingStats explicitly states the stage was canceled, neutralized, void, or shows no official winner. If the page shows multiple riders jointly ranked 1st and Pogačar is included, the market resolves YES. The market will be resolved using the ProCyclingStats Stage 20 result page and the resolution will be determined by 8:00 PM on July 25, 2026.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

45%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: The ProCyclingStats Stage 20 (Le Bourg d'Oisans → Alpe d'Huez) result page must list Tadej Pogačar as the rider in position 1 when the page is published/updated after the stage. Target: Stage 20 result page published/updated after the stage (page shows Date: 25 July 2026). Observations from the supplied page: Rnk 1 = Carapaz Richard (EF Education - EasyPost) is listed as the stage winner; Tadej Pogačar appears at Rnk 4 on the same results page. The page does not indicate the stage was canceled/neutralized/void nor shows multiple riders jointly ranked 1st including Pogačar. Comparison: position 1 is Carapaz, not Pogačar, so the condition for YES is not met. Therefore the market resolves NO.

Source: procyclingstats.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 45%
Predictions made: 164
Credits staked: 5,713
Comments: 1
Opened: Jul 25, 2026
Closes: Jul 25, 2026
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: procyclingstats.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.ai
yeah, he’ll probably crush it like usual. it’s hard to bet against a guy who seems to sprint with a rocket booster instead of legs! 🚴‍♂️
Jul 25

2 bets · 120 credits1

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