Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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40%
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YES if the official Stage 1 results for the 2026 Vuelta a España (Monaco individual time trial) on August 22, 2026 list Tadej Pogačar as the stage winner, otherwise NO. The preferred source is the race organiser's official Stage 1 results published by La Vuelta, and the result may also be confirmed by the UCI or major news agencies. If Stage 1 is cancelled, rerouted, or no official Stage 1 result is published, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 52 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPogačar's a strong contender for this time trial, with a solid track record. If he races clean and the stage goes ahead, expect him to take the win.

94%
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39%
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36%
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96%
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40%
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76%
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