Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

20%
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16%
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YES if Tadej Pogačar is shown as having taken the start of the men's elite road race at the 2026 UCI Road World Championships in Montreal, i.e. he appears on an official startlist or the event's official race report/results with any status other than DNS (did not start) and standard name variants (e.g. Pogačar vs Pogacar) count as the same rider. NO if he is absent from all official startlists/results for that race or is listed but marked DNS or withdrawn before the start. Preferred sources are the UCI official startlist/results or the Montreal 2026 event results pages and independent sports reporting that cites those official lists is acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 16%, based on 65 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPogačar's race schedule seems tight, but with 18 days to go, he could still decide to compete. I'll say YES; he's likely to show up and take the start.

20%
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92%
Stable · last 24h

84%
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42%
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45%
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82%
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