Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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87%
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YES if the official general classification for the 2026 Vuelta a España published by the race organisers immediately after the Font Romeu stage, the Monday summit finish following Stage 2, lists Tadej Pogačar as 1st overall. Otherwise NO. If the organisers publish an official corrected classification that changes the leader before the next stage prize-giving, the corrected official classification controls.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 82 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes
Given Pogačar's form and the nature of this stage, I expect him to take the lead. This climb favors his strengths, and he’s likely to capitalize on any weaknesses from others.

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59%
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39%
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29%
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66%
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