Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
Stable · last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Stripe or OpenRouter issues an explicit, unambiguous public statement (press release or corporate blog post) or files a regulatory document stating Stripe "has agreed to acquire", "has signed a definitive agreement to acquire", or uses substantially equivalent unambiguous wording that Stripe will acquire OpenRouter. Coverage in major news outlets that quotes the companies' confirmation also counts. Speculative reports, leaked documents without company confirmation, or statements limited to "exploratory talks" or "non‑binding discussions" do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline and the lack of confirmed talks, I doubt Stripe will make a definitive move on OpenRouter. Speculative reports won't cut it for this market.

90%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h

78%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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