Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

88%
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27%
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YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Stripe or OpenRouter publicly announces an agreement under which Stripe will acquire OpenRouter and the announcement (or at least two independent major news outlets) states a headline transaction value of US$7,000,000,000 or more, including phrasing such as “more than $7 billion”. Otherwise NO. Resolution will follow Stripe or OpenRouter press releases and reporting by major news outlets such as Reuters or TechCrunch.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt this will happen. With only 45 days left and no solid indications yet, the likelihood of a $7 billion deal being announced seems slim.

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59%
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18%
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70%
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73%
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80%
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