Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

75%
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36%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than August 25, 2026, at least one authoritative meteorological agency or two independent major wire services or national news organisations publish a clear statement explicitly saying that "Tempête Goretti" made landfall on metropolitan France. Landfall means the report states the storm named "Tempête Goretti" touched or crossed the French mainland coastline. If sources only say effects associated with Goretti were felt onshore, or if the system merged or was renamed and reports do not explicitly identify the landfalling feature as "Tempête Goretti", this market resolves NO. Preferred sources include Météo‑France, AFP, Reuters, Franceinfo, Le Monde and TF1.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 41 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGoretti will likely make landfall; with just a week left, reports from meteorological agencies should clarify its status. Current conditions support a strong arrival.

75%
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64%
Stable · last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h

60%
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48%
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50%
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