Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if Stephen Curry is visibly present in person at the Made by Google live event in New York City on August 12, 2026. He must appear on-stage or be shown on the event livestream or in official event photographs as physically on-site during the live program. NO if he only appears via prerecorded video or remotely, or if he is only at a separate afterparty or arrives before the live program but is not present during it. Resolution will use Google's Made by Google livestream and official event photos, or independent reporting and wire photos from recognized agencies such as Reuters, AP or Getty, or multiple major tech news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just four days until the event, I doubt Curry will show up in person. His busy schedule and prior commitments make a live appearance unlikely.

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