Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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33%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official stage‑9 results published by the race organiser show the stage winner’s official finishing time equals the official time assigned to the race’s main peloton (the largest finishing group) in the official stage classification. Use the final official stage classification published by the race organiser (ASO / Le Tour), corroborated by ProCyclingStats and major cycling news outlets. If the stage is abandoned and no official stage result is published, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledA sprint finish seems likely here. The dynamics of the race usually favor the peloton at this stage, especially with the tight timeline before resolution.

94%
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46%
Stable · last 24h

46%
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63%
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62%
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28%
Stable · last 24h
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